Livingston, Montana 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

050
FXUS65 KBYZ 020946
AFDBYZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Billings MT
246 AM MST Mon Feb 2 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Breezy conditions are forecast across the western foothills
  today, with gusts 40-55 mph. Gusts 30-45 mph will be common
  across the plains.

- Mostly dry and very warm with periods of gusty winds along the
  western foothills through the next 7 days.

- Increased grass fire concerns across the area this week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Today through Sunday...

Satellite imagery early this morning showed the next shortwave
to impact the region tracking through northern Montana. Westerly winds
were increasing along the western foothills, where winds were
gusting in the 30s and 40s mph. As the wave continues to approach,
winds aloft will increase (700mb winds of 40-55kts), causing
winds over the western foothills to gust into the 40s and 50s mph.
The probability of gusts of 60 mph or greater is roughly 30-50%
from Livingston to Nye and up through Big Timber and Harlowton
along the US-191 corridor. Strongest wind gusts over the western
foothills will likely be into the morning hours. As the wave
drops through eastern MT and into the Dakotas, gusty winds will
spread across the plains this morning into the afternoon, bringing
wind gusts into the 30s and 40s mph. There remains a low chance
(15-35%) for rain/snow showers over the east later this morning
into the afternoon, and any accumulations will be light.

Winds will decrease across the area into the evening for most
locations, while winds will remain somewhat breezy over the
western foothills. The IDA-LWT pressure gradient will remain
around 10 mb, allowing for wind gusts into the 40s mph for
Livingston to Nye. Another shortwave is progged to drop into the
area from the northwest late tonight into Tuesday morning bringing
west to northwest winds in the 20s and 30s mph, along with low to
moderate chances for rain/snow, greatest on the W-NW facing slopes
in the southern mountains. The Bighorn mountains look to be most
favored, with a couple inches of snowfall forecast. Across the
east, there are low chances (less than 20%) for some mixed
precipitation Tuesday morning before temperatures warm. While this
does not look to be widespread, it is something worth monitoring.

Strong ridging looks to settle in over the region through the
remainder of the week ahead continuing well above normal
temperatures and mainly dry conditions. High temperatures most
days are forecast from the 40s to 60s F, coolest east.
Temperatures look to be warmest on Thursday, where most guidance
shows highs in the middle 60s F over central and western areas,
though there is a clustering of models showing the potential for
temperatures approaching or exceeding 70 degrees F for some
areas. 850mb temperatures are currently progged to approach +10 to
12 degrees C, and latest model soundings show the potential to
mix down from roughly 850 mb. Using a dry adiabatic mix down
would give temps in the 60s F.

Due to the persistent dry, occasionally breezy, and very warm
conditions, there is an elevated risk for grass fires this week.
Be careful to not cause a spark. STP

.AVIATION...

Expect gusty winds to slightly increase across the western
foothills for (KLVM, K6S0, K3HT) this morning. Gusts 35-45kts are
anticipated through mid morning. Strong winds just above the
surface (40-45kts) is producing low level wind shear. This is
expected for KSHR and KMLS through mid morning with less
confidence for KBIL where winds have been occasionally reaching
the surface. Breezy conditions will be felt across the region
with gusts 30-40kts common through early afternoon. Southeastern
MT (KBHK, KMLS) will see isolated rain/snow showers late
morning/early afternoon today. TS

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMP/POPS...

    Tdy Tue     Wed     Thu     Fri     Sat     Sun
-------------------------------------------------------
BIL 057 036/054 029/059 038/064 034/061 036/060 036/062
    0/N 12/R    00/B    00/U    00/U    00/B    00/B
LVM 051 035/049 031/059 036/060 034/060 034/055 036/055
    0/N 21/N    00/B    00/U    00/U    00/B    01/B
HDN 058 031/055 026/061 035/066 029/061 032/060 031/063
    1/N 22/R    00/B    00/U    00/U    00/B    00/B
MLS 052 028/048 023/054 036/060 028/054 031/052 030/057
    2/R 12/O    00/B    00/U    00/U    00/B    00/B
4BQ 052 031/048 026/056 038/062 030/059 032/056 031/058
    3/R 12/O    00/B    00/U    00/U    00/B    00/U
BHK 043 024/043 022/049 032/054 026/050 027/047 026/052
    4/O 22/S    00/B    00/U    00/U    00/B    00/B
SHR 052 026/047 023/058 033/063 029/061 031/057 029/060
    0/N 24/O    00/B    00/U    00/U    00/B    00/U

&&

.BYZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...None.
WY...None.

&&

$$
weather.gov/billings